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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219510

Brindisi VS Ebolitana

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 03:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.48%
Draw
24.54%
Away
20.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3114
Log loss
0.6073

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 03:01 UTC
SHA-256
03ee4a6bdf8d8492426c6cee09be3d89a77e79bd701d3e44408817b8f27e56ca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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