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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219331

Al-Sailiya VS Lusail City

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 14:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.67%
Draw
24.00%
Away
49.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3855
Log loss
0.7066

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
SHA-256
db4aca2544d231e51d6cccc227dcbf05ebbb19efa3cbffc20d005d42e686d95a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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