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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219329

Génération Foot VS La Linguère

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.75%
Draw
25.59%
Away
13.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9414
Log loss
1.3631

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
SHA-256
7829040b9fc934752f2219c019b1a6d141f9cab0a80385f54578fc90966b8cbc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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