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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219319

B68 VS NSI Runavik

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
12.79%
Draw
16.64%
Away
70.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1307
Log loss
0.3486

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
SHA-256
5c4ed5bf4829402070b0170e5a3e3ded7374ddafccbd8d41637c4256c236b139

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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