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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219211

Valencia W VS Eibar W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.64%
Draw
29.27%
Away
33.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5840
Log loss
0.9771

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
SHA-256
92924d3323c452854456e74a02fec9ba74ac4a7eb7a30e5b8d01b9735f7d9422

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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