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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219019

Simba VS TP Mazembe

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 14:01 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.70%
Draw
27.27%
Away
58.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 14:01 UTC
SHA-256
bc5e8182066bda359d373f10ede0b8654cb50ae2fa1ed984f886326ca15ae52b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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