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Frozen pre-match forecast · #218972

Petro de Luanda VS Desportivo Huíla

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.65%
Draw
27.10%
Away
14.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2647
Log loss
0.5336

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
b3e5ca6991ba0e2f8e1752793d86a663680aa4fef8bf2120e1946382c1304eba

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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