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Frozen pre-match forecast · #218897

Wadi Degla VS Zamalek SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.30%
Draw
28.99%
Away
41.71%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7579
Log loss
1.2276

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
79e0ec115461809dd23ccd0c272cd1d3124cddb4eeaddd931c6f027e01e77de7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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