Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #218858

USM Annaba VS JS Jijel

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.25%
Draw
25.83%
Away
14.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9234
Log loss
1.3536

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
fac7e89d7915225ab8226cf2a9a1958819c7f3d2b2e4ee57572b36371474c434

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →