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Frozen pre-match forecast · #218724

Hapoel Beer Sheva VS OFI

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.30%
Draw
26.02%
Away
33.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6701
Log loss
1.0885

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
22a50a41a9c57d7bc29b03d094f3d52d770dd4d9fa3a3ce5ed39bd7e140d7cfc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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