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Frozen pre-match forecast · #218550

Crvena Zvezda U18 VS Bravo U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.68%
Draw
19.47%
Away
13.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1681
Log loss
0.4053

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
bc8477e64f09bbe1127f7b49278b07e4f3ed08ac5c3e4987efa14daddd7b960e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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