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Frozen pre-match forecast · #218472

Karpaty Lviv U19 VS Lviv U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
70.62%
Draw
17.10%
Away
12.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1306
Log loss
0.3479

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
7ec0c1f64a9e2f59eb83346a1f670d34ed21c8586c4a6b57110a5aa42b26b66c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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