Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #218466

Zbrojovka Brno U19 VS Teplice U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.46%
Draw
17.19%
Away
21.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2236
Log loss
0.4867

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
7530190bb9c5cf7f0cd597db38273add77020583fbe7824b04b8b0dc01156f95

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →