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Frozen pre-match forecast · #218389

Sutton Utd VS Southampton U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.47%
Draw
23.48%
Away
37.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
e2ddf8357a7ca569a4c9163fddb2cd9dc84c83d2131444476d3ed34990e8af47

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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