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Frozen pre-match forecast · #218351

East Bengal II VS Al Seeb

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 13:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.96%
Draw
23.66%
Away
20.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0031
Log loss
1.5906

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
c8370365dcfa9a4d915edf2d05de503579fa6846ac74a08ae5827806be07657e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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