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Frozen pre-match forecast · #218306

Fujieda MYFC VS Jubilo Iwata

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.43%
Draw
27.71%
Away
33.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6619
Log loss
1.0829

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
fe3ad9d8701610da5acf879585cc8f7dcc5808011a51e1c51769fdf578a6b16f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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