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Frozen pre-match forecast · #218257

Fiorentina W VS Juventus W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.57%
Draw
19.91%
Away
65.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1798
Log loss
0.4228

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
459f9206aea98ee70f3030c3f959d05169dea3b5b7c7d123088f57dda92ca4b4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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