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Frozen pre-match forecast · #218205

Torpedo Kutaisi VS Dila

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.37%
Draw
27.98%
Away
35.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6103
Log loss
1.0115

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
7f14321e33cd4ad272f44b28c1bcaed784b621851de11c29a804bd3e97e638a2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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