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Frozen pre-match forecast · #218170

Los Angeles FC VS Minnesota United FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 01:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.61%
Draw
23.77%
Away
23.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9167
Log loss
1.4431

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
2bcc91d7dc030327583ec8d2a4326f01acb5b157184f1c42c043b0518ef194e8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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