Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #218166

New England Revolution VS Inter Miami

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 00:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.42%
Draw
22.10%
Away
42.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5052
Log loss
0.8561

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
32efe9bbdaf90749ac790ca0a48e0568f44e5f180d0042a111547e6ec08e4062

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →