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Frozen pre-match forecast · #218153

Dallas Trinity W VS Fort Lauderdale United W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.53%
Draw
21.80%
Away
16.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2234
Log loss
0.4857

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
5d0593e3467bbf65b853c746a9f9d46a44702ea6df8a2f44d497f29b456c4153

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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