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Frozen pre-match forecast · #218111

Deportivo San Pedro VS Municipal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.69%
Draw
29.24%
Away
36.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6422
Log loss
1.0588

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
077fdeaa3c7ea48fec327537d6009cf7650d090cdf2ad649671e6d694c76e4fa

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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