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Frozen pre-match forecast · #218079

Ranger's VS FC Santa Coloma

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.97%
Draw
24.96%
Away
48.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4046
Log loss
0.7324

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
9f17804811137942769c2562671456347c7e88604742cf13a97e15b4ab7daf1b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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