Frozen pre-match forecast · #218073
AS Eupen VS Excelsior Virton
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 18:15 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 57.67%
- Draw
- 22.15%
- Away
- 20.18%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 1.0188
- Log loss
- 1.6005
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
- SHA-256
- a3b1c1e43d9764f9a750db8e9a51a6e45599ce2bfe6f4e88a4e0ff3a5e1805e9
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.