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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21806

Queen of the South VS Annan Athletic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.87%
Draw
17.76%
Away
25.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0641
Log loss
1.7282

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
SHA-256
561e58b5fe864f32db37502416624a3d51ca703e164d0194551c0d5a178606ea

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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