Frozen pre-match forecast · #218054
Joinville VS Metropolitano
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 39.21%
- Draw
- 24.76%
- Away
- 36.03%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.5607
- Log loss
- 0.9362
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
- SHA-256
- f8068ec78d9d9fe381f72d0da36b80078af5b9bda22cde4d75d403b9ee9143ce
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.