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Frozen pre-match forecast · #217963

Omonia Aradippou VS Apoel Nicosia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.19%
Draw
21.77%
Away
64.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1968
Log loss
0.4457

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
38587c85699dc3c2bfa389a056672af5f8680b5e15dac4c8205f988080081aa1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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