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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21794

Clachnacuddin VS Ross County

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.44%
Draw
17.83%
Away
31.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.7523
Log loss
1.1479

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
SHA-256
6098065f4c5092b0ca0f7af7fae2374930e741cdc59fecd1bcefa1a76d557045

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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