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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21791

Banks O' Dee VS Aberdeen U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.59%
Draw
17.58%
Away
29.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3447
Log loss
0.6426

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
SHA-256
81bfa62271efa9051da420db6de848bc44f12c6bd7f61e80a7ff00a0b7a6e66d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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