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Frozen pre-match forecast · #217872

Malaga City VS Huétor Vega

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.02%
Draw
24.71%
Away
45.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4507
Log loss
0.7925

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
a8494a6430588bdb0f20eb6d72b9d97a1ab9ef3e93bc1dc06a84f36e55bbb710

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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