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Frozen pre-match forecast · #217834

Coruxo VS Sestao River

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.44%
Draw
28.98%
Away
37.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5856
Log loss
0.9789

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
7ce9003f3e1dbd24e001c0aee05844d0e78f0f6544f875ce4ef9896494cfb337

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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