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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2178

Varteks Varaždin VS Inter Zapresic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:28 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.04%
Draw
33.33%
Away
40.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5315
Log loss
0.9008

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:28 UTC
SHA-256
37aa256aca6ab07351502a5969422322a0f075913049aab90b96d1e4a8a23279

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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