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Frozen pre-match forecast · #217697

Mouloudia Oujda VS Chabab Atl. Khenifra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.67%
Draw
26.57%
Away
24.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3954
Log loss
0.7201

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
f87f442fff7632fcc97577d04b6f6e6146afa0c1c2806b8597c2eb2789078a8b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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