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Frozen pre-match forecast · #217623

Uppsala W VS Hammarby W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
0.28%
Draw
1.52%
Away
98.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 790-minute result
Brier score
0.0006
Log loss
0.0182

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
8e2c3383a0f8be77433d5e662694c09b40092826b50c1e0b3ec76f0026856e56

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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