Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #217615

Latte Dolce VS Albalonga

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.87%
Draw
25.06%
Away
29.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7763
Log loss
1.2355

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
dc2445318b453ee3d2bab0a4b960b9c89b9da5a315bfe14cdef25075a835d48e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →