Frozen pre-match forecast · #217563
Virtus Bolzano VS FC Obermais
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 30 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 26.19%
- Draw
- 24.12%
- Away
- 49.68%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.8912
- Log loss
- 1.4220
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 30 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
- SHA-256
- 890cd79751754985fe0ec9d9f0f0dabd8a25aeaec97345dbd5e6a71afab480e7
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.