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Frozen pre-match forecast · #217527

HO Kalken VS RFC Wetteren

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.79%
Draw
23.79%
Away
39.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6115
Log loss
0.9999

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
af1b6c43aee682b1b3997f2bdc01d8123d93378427d365f3d8dbf50586499a53

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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