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Frozen pre-match forecast · #217516

Saronikos Anavyssou VS Nea Ionia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.16%
Draw
28.54%
Away
32.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6931
Log loss
1.1301

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
c31042606af6e677a26ff090955dbc7800d9f5494d22bd60748fa8511906beb7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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