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Frozen pre-match forecast · #217032

Sport Huancayo VS FBC Melgar

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.61%
Draw
24.17%
Away
32.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4802
Log loss
0.8299

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
fdac61b00c0475ce4546dd25baa7e4c07584b1bbf625e29192f6d7854878687e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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