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Frozen pre-match forecast · #216906

Universitatea Craiova VS FC Botosani

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.23%
Draw
19.43%
Away
13.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1629
Log loss
0.3971

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
f8288441581557b12b3a10fc5fa288f15afa87d16dcb7b59bc6febd74b01c47f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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