Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #216900

Dinamo Bucuresti VS Uta Arad

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
70.77%
Draw
17.46%
Away
11.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1298
Log loss
0.3457

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
25a78e728164121825423dbf30dd6965a0e829af5ac9bea12334b4a57406fcac

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →