Frozen pre-match forecast · #216754
Lancy VS Echallens
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 30 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 53.97%
- Draw
- 21.75%
- Away
- 24.29%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.3182
- Log loss
- 0.6168
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 30 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
- SHA-256
- 9e5e8158e688d9e97b6e838f6e9370d0183a9e4bd58003aa28741c87d5f779e8
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.