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Frozen pre-match forecast · #216742

Haladás VSE VS Bicskei

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.45%
Draw
17.65%
Away
13.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1500
Log loss
0.3791

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
1914ced03e55250945f4a7caca1ecd5db652418bbdc461b7f60421985d71ba75

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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