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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21674

Dynamos VS Herentals

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:28 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.42%
Draw
35.28%
Away
34.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7263
Log loss
1.1901

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:28 UTC
SHA-256
58b25f285fba379a64b0dce53b3d560f7640fb6834e556b28f55261af008f0b3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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