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Frozen pre-match forecast · #216678

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb VS NK Osijek

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.41%
Draw
25.97%
Away
38.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5696
Log loss
0.9514

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
17cb3887805c2666b46d80d8629f9a4ba2d20978bf4b20c03428ddd924f544a8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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