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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21644

Jonkopings Sodra VS Skövde AIK

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.94%
Draw
22.14%
Away
24.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3326
Log loss
0.6360

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
SHA-256
1fcb8a1b225cfcbfc1d2406f606b49c5ca8825b7774e58a460f3ea16d2a2cd2a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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