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Frozen pre-match forecast · #216365

Al Jahra VS Al Fahaheel

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.54%
Draw
26.15%
Away
42.31%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7161
Log loss
1.1539

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
8edc4307c316f75256e9d741764e3cdfa63db8b19809310c6f4c1726334dd682

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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