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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21628

Staal Jørpeland VS Viking II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.96%
Draw
17.22%
Away
49.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0421
Log loss
1.7591

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
SHA-256
4822ccb7295e563d60f6da39515d5c20bd7f0aa16ea44f305c0fb1da1fa68d14

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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