Frozen pre-match forecast · #215421
Hapoel Kfar Shalem VS Ironi Modi'in
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 30 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 02 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 52.39%
- Draw
- 22.30%
- Away
- 25.30%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.3404
- Log loss
- 0.6464
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 30 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
- SHA-256
- b33e6f1aa8c7cd4387186e55d1e78252fa5693543bc905837b3b7fcf610c26df
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.