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Frozen pre-match forecast · #215211

Omonia 29is Maiou VS Polemidion

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
90.76%
Draw
6.95%
Away
2.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0139
Log loss
0.0969

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
7435ba5c3fcf3e3970a181afaa933b22f151624abe4e80b4ae39c2acff5a88c3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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